Japanese bond yields are spiking dramatically, Japan's debt to GDP ratio is now above 230 percent, the Japanese economy has started contracting, and Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba just publicly stated that the financial condition of his nation is worse than the financial condition of Greece.  When I heard that he had said this, I knew that I had to find his direct quote and share it with all of you…

"It's important to recognise the dangers of a society and a world with interest rates. The government is not in a position to comment on interest rates, but the reality is we are facing a world with them. Our country's fiscal situation is undoubtedly extremely poor, worse than Greece's," the prime minister told the parliament on Monday.

That is really an extreme thing to say.

But it is accurate.  Greece has a debt to GDP ratio of 142.2 percent while Japan has a debt to GDP ratio of 234.9 percent…

According to the International Monetary Fund, Japan's general government debt as a percentage of gross domestic product stood at 234.9 per cent as of 2025 while it was at 142.2 per cent for Greece.

This is a crisis that has been building for a long time, but now it appears that we have reached a tipping point.

Since the beginning of April, Japanese bond yields have been going completely nuts…

Japan, which now has substantially more inflation than the US – 3.6% overall CPI and 3.2% core CPI – is watching in astonishment as its very-long-term bond yields spike in a dramatic manner, while the Bank of Japan has accelerated QT this year, which it started in mid-2024.

The superhero is the 40-year JGB yield, which jumped another 11 basis points at the moment, for a spike of 100 basis points since the beginning of April, to 3.56% at the moment. A rising yield means a falling price.