QUESTION #1: Hi Martin,

Since the international war array started picking up in 2022 but peaks in 2026 with a panic cycle, do we in fact expect a serious deflagration potentially nuclear but very short lived and closing by 2027 since it's the peak? Would that mean a very swift demise of European stupid leaders and we're done for the following few years until the US and China want to face off?

Best,
PH

QUESTION #2: Marty, I was at your 2011 Philadelphia conference when you said that war would start in 2014 and that ended up with the Ukraine Revolution and Kiev attacking the Donbas, starting the Civil War. I believe you said this will build in intensity, similar to the ECM going into 2028. Do you have any updates on that?

Roger

ANSWER: Keep in mind that just as the Economic Confidence Model is NOT in the computer arrays, neither is the War Cycle. The array is ENTIRELY the product of Socrates with ZERO human interference. Then there are two primary databases. One is only wars between nations, and the other is purely domestic civil unrest that can emerge as revolutions, as in the cases of the American Revolution, the US Civil War, the French Revolution, the 1848 European Revolutions, the 1917 Russian Revolution, and the revolutions in Asia.

Under NO circumstances do I ever interfere with the cyclical forecasts of Socrates. That would defeat my own objective. Sociales is reliable BECAUSE it is NOT biased. Being human means we have some predetermined hardwiring toward something. I tend to be personally in favor of freedom and against controlling government actions. I cannot allow that to color my judgment, so the best way is for me to look at Socrates, which will enable me to do the timing forecasts.