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On Jan. 10, 1776, Robert Bell did something that could have landed him in prison for treason against King George III of England.
In his small shop on Third Street in downtown Philadelphia, Bell printed an incendiary 47-page pamphlet, published anonymously, calling for rebellion against the Crown and independence from Great Britain.
Its author was a little-known Englishman who had befriended Benjamin Franklin in London two years earlier.
Franklin was impressed with the man and recommended that he emigrate to the colonies, which he did that same year.
Arriving in America just five months before shots were fired at Lexington and Concord, Thomas Paine had a front row seat as the American Revolutionary War was unfolding.
Despite "the shot heard 'round the world" on April 19, 1775, calls for independence were relatively muted throughout the colonies, historians estimating that only about 25 percent of citizens supported the move.
That changed after "Common Sense" hit the streets, being widely read and discussed openly in taverns and coffeehouses throughout the land.
Within approximately one year, an estimated 100,000 copies were sold—a remarkable feat considering the population of America was only about 2.5 million.
After its widespread distribution, Paine's words proved highly persuasive to tens of thousands across the colonies, nudging support for independence to well over 50 percent. Paine followed it up with an even more persuasive clarion call—"The American Crisis"—in December 1776, its words so grippingly effective that General George Washington had it read out loud to his troops in an attempt to keep his Army together:
"THESE are the times that try men's souls. The summer soldier and the sunshine patriot will, in this crisis, shrink from the service of their country; but he that stands by it now, deserves the love and thanks of man and woman. Tyranny, like hell, is not easily conquered; yet we have this consolation with us, that the harder the conflict, the more glorious the triumph."
An Incredibly Risky Wager
As America had a miniscule Army and ineffective Navy in 1776—versus Great Britain with the most powerful Army in the western hemisphere and a colossally-equipped Navy, only the most aggressive wagerer would have made the bet that the colonies could prevail.
After the move for independence was put into writing on July 4, 1776, the die was cast.
The members of the Second Continental Congress understood that what they were hoping to achieve would be a "long shot" by any reasonable standard.